t automaton - 'Mitt Romney leading President Obama by six in Gallup poll'
October 17, 2012
'Mitt Romney leading President Obama by six in Gallup poll'

The new numbers, of course, don’t include much or any data collected after Tuesday night’s debate. It will take days to determine what effect that might have had.

Gallup continues to show a better picture for Romney than most other pollsters. AWashington Post-ABC News poll released Monday showed Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 46 percent, while a Politico-George Washington University poll showed Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 48 percent.

In addition, Democrats have cast doubt on Gallup’s likely-voter model, with the Obama campaign releasing an entire memo on it earlier this week when Gallup showed Romney opening up a similar lead in the 12 most competitive states in the country.”

Also pretty much everything Silver says